NFL29 days out
New York Giants25.5%
Los Angeles Rams74.5%
no bookmaker odds yet
Sports probability research
Every scheduled game has a probability. Not just this week’s.
Ayght Sports generates odds on an event the day its schedule is released. Bookmakers produce odds the week it happens. That leaves a long stretch of the season where the only numbers available are ours.
Forward coverage
How far ahead the numbers go
Average days between publication and kickoff, measured on the current snapshot. The ceiling is the schedule, not the model: an event can have odds as soon as it is on a calendar, and preseason NFL games had odds in July.
MLB
MLS
NFL
NHL
today1 week2 weeks3 weeks1 month
Odds now
The furthest out we have odds today
Win probabilities for games no bookmaker has produced odds on yet. Each updates as the schedule fills in and form changes.
MLB29 days out
Toronto Blue Jays42.1%
Baltimore Orioles57.9%
no bookmaker odds yet
MLB29 days out
Washington Nationals37.1%
Detroit Tigers62.9%
no bookmaker odds yet
MLB29 days out
Minnesota Twins47.6%
San Francisco Giants52.4%
no bookmaker odds yet
Method
What the numbers mean
A probability is not a pick. When Ayght Sports puts a team at 62 percent, it means that across many similar matchups the team wins about 62 times in 100 — and loses the other 38. Both sides of every event are shown the same way, with the same emphasis.
Estimates come from Poisson-family scoring models and point-differential regression, generated independently of any market. Where bookmaker odds exist, we show them alongside as a reference point, and we publish how our numbers have held up against outcomes.
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